Solar flares versus solar energetic particle events: Probabilistic projections to extreme events

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Table C.1.

Parameters of the joint fitting the lognormal parameters μ and σ as a function of f₈₀₀.

ℱ	ℛ²	AIC	a	b	c	d	e
ℱ₁ = a + b ⋅ x^c	0.08	−32.11	$- 6 . 10_{- 0.19}^{+ 0.25}$ $-6.10^{+0.25}_{-0.19}$	$(5 . 0_{- 3.6}^{+ 3.6}) \cdot 10^{- 3}$ $(5.0^{+3.6}_{-3.6})\cdot10^{-3}$	$3 . 81_{- 0.27}^{+ 0.72}$ $3.81^{+0.72}_{-0.27}$	$3 . 00_{- 0.08}^{+ 0.12}$ $3.00^{+0.12}_{-0.08}$	$0 . 138_{- 0.012}^{+ 0.026}$ $0.138^{+0.026}_{-0.012}$
ℱ₂ = a + b ⋅ x + c ⋅ x²	0.53	−5.31	$- 2 . 36_{- 0.37}^{+ 0.47}$ $-2.36^{+0.47}_{-0.37}$	$- 2 . 34_{- 0.24}^{+ 0.07}$ $-2.34^{+0.07}_{-0.24}$	$0 . 41_{- 0.017}^{+ 0.038}$ $0.41^{+0.038}_{-0.017}$	$3 . 00_{- 0.11}^{+ 0.11}$ $3.00^{+0.11}_{-0.11}$	$0 . 142_{- 0.024}^{+ 0.022}$ $0.142^{+0.022}_{-0.024}$

Notes. The minimal merit function value, ℛ_min² (Eq. C.1) and AIC, best-fit values of the parameters with 1σ CrI (see the text for details) are shown.

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