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Table 4

Markov Chain Monte Carlo results of the RV modelling.

Parameter No planet Planet b (15.2 d) Planet b (20.8 d) Planet b′′ (30.4 d) Prior
θ1(m s−1) 8.0-2.5+3.7$8.0_{-2.5}^{+3.7}$ 10.4-2.3+3.0$10.4_{-2.3}^{+3.0}$ 9.7-2.2+2.9$9.7_{-2.2}^{+2.9}$ 9.9-2.1+2.7$9.9_{-2.1}^{+2.7}$ Modified Jeffreys (σRV)

θ2 (d) 5.02 ± 0.15 4.96 ± 0.11 5.05 ± 0.06 5.03 ± 0.09 Gaussian (5.0; 0.3)
θ3 (d) 24-8+11$24_{-8}^{+11}$ 28-7+9$28_{-7}^{+9}$ 48-13+18$48_{-13}^{+18}$ 29-7+9$29_{-7}^{+9}$ log Gaussian (log 40; log 2.0)
θ4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Fixed
θ5(m s−1) 6.1 ± 1.1 4.1 ± 0.8 5.1 ± 0.8 4.5 ± 0.8 Modified Jeffreys (σRV)

Kb(m s−1) 5.4-1.0+1.3$5.4_{-1.0}^{+1.3}$ 4.8-1.2+1.5$4.8_{-1.2}^{+1.5}$ 7.0-1.7+2.3$7.0_{-1.7}^{+2.3}$ Modified Jeffreys (σRV)
Pb(d) 15.21 ± 0.02 20.83 ± 0.05 30.35 ± 0.10 Gaussian (15.2, 20.8 or 30.3; 0.3)
Tb (2459000+) 289.1 ± 0.6 295.1 ± 1.0 276.3 ± 1.2 Gaussian (289, 295, or 276; 5)
Mb sin i(M) 12.5-2.3+3.0$12.5_{-2.3}^{+3.0}$ 12.3-3.1+3.8$12.3_{-3.1}^{+3.8}$ 20.4-4.9+6.7$20.4_{-4.9}^{+6.7}$ From Kb, Pb, M
Mb(M4) 0.17-0.03+0.04$0.17_{-0.03}^{+0.04}$ 0.17-0.04+0.05$0.17_{-0.04}^{+0.05}$ 0.28-0.07+0.09$0.28_{-0.07}^{+0.09}$ Assuming i=13°
ab(au) 0.092 ± 0.006 0.114 ± 0.007 0.147 ± 0.009

χr2$\chi_{r}^{2}$ 10.6 3.8 7.1 5.1
rms (m s−1) 4.7 2.8 3.8 3.3
log ℒM 174.9 186.3 182.9 183.6
Δ log ℒM 0.0 11.4 8.0 8.7

Notes. We list the recovered GP and parameters of the tentative planet with their error bars, as well as the priors used where relevant, for the model without planet (Column 2) and the best models with a planet (Columns 3-5). The last four rows report the χr2$\chi_{\mathrm{r}}^{2}$, the rms of the best fit to the RV data, the associated logarithmic marginal likelihood, log M, and the logarithmic marginal likelihood variation, Δ log M, relative to the case without planet.

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