Table 4.
Detection rates of SL events.
| instr | mwc | Model | nsl, filter only | nsl, 2σ | nsl, 3σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| startrack | |||||
| LSST | bulge | f05 | 3.0 ± 0.2 | 2.2 ± 0.2 | 2.0 ± 0.2 |
| f10 | 3.1 ± 0.2 | 2.2 ± 0.1 | 1.9 ± 0.1 | ||
| f40 | 3.1 ± 0.1 | 2.3 ± 0.1 | 2.1 ± 0.1 | ||
| disk | f05 | (3.8 ± 0.2)×101 | (2.6 ± 0.2)×101 | (2.0 ± 0.1)×101 | |
| f10 | (3.1 ± 0.2)×101 | (2.1 ± 0.1)×101 | (1.7 ± 0.1)×101 | ||
| f40 | (3.1 ± 0.2)×101 | (2.2 ± 0.2)×101 | (1.8 ± 0.1)×101 | ||
| TESS | bulge | f05 | (6.2 ± 5.5)×10−1 | (1.7 ± 1.6)×10−1 | (3.6 ± 7.0)×10−2 |
| f10 | (3.4 ± 2.3)×10−1 | (1.2 ± 1.2)×10−1 | (2.4 ± 2.3)×10−2 | ||
| f40 | (4.0 ± 1.7)×10−1 | (1.1 ± 0.9)×10−1 | (4.3 ± 6.5)×10−2 | ||
| disk | f05 | (1.3 ± 0.5)×101 | 3.1 ± 1.3 | 1.4 ± 0.8 | |
| f10 | 8.0 ± 2.9 | 2.1 ± 0.9 | (9.2 ± 8.4)×10−1 | ||
| f40 | (1.4 ± 0.3)×101 | 4.0 ± 1.4 | 1.6 ± 0.9 | ||
| ZTF | bulge | f05 | 2.4 ± 0.2 | 1.5 ± 0.1 | (9.8 ± 1.0)×10−1 |
| f10 | 2.9 ± 0.3 | 1.7 ± 0.2 | 10.0 ± 0.1 | ||
| f40 | 3.0 ± 0.3 | 1.6 ± 0.2 | (9.2 ± 0.9)×10−1 | ||
| disk | f05 | (4.0 ± 0.3)×101 | (1.9 ± 0.2)×101 | (1.2 ± 0.1)×101 | |
| f10 | (3.3 ± 0.2)×101 | (1.5 ± 0.1)×101 | 7.3 ± 0.3 | ||
| f40 | (3.6 ± 0.3)×101 | (1.7 ± 0.1)×101 | 9.4 ± 0.7 | ||
| COSMIC | |||||
| LSST | bulge | Delayed | 3.2 ± 0.4 | 2.9 ± 0.4 | 2.8 ± 0.4 |
| Rapid | 16.9 ± 1.7 | 10.1 ± 1.6 | 1.6 ± 1.2 | ||
| disk | Delayed | 134 ± 11.1 | 67 ± 10.5 | 33.4 ± 10.4 | |
| Rapid | 140.9 ± 14.4 | 100.9 ± 10.34 | 13.2 ± 5.8 | ||
| TESS | bulge | Delayed | 0.2 ± 0.01 | 0.1 ± 0.03 | 0.09 ± 0.01 |
| Rapid | 0.3 ± 0.05 | 0.1 ± 0.1 | 0.06 ± 0.09 | ||
| disk | Delayed | 24.0 ± 0.1 | 8.6 ± 1.1 | 1.2 ± 0.7 | |
| Rapid | 39.3 ± 3.7 | 11.8 ± 0.3 | 2.5 ± 0.2 | ||
| ZTF | bulge | Delayed | 2.1 ± 0.1 | 1.8 ± 0.2 | 1.0 ± 0.3 |
| Rapid | 1.1 ± 0.1 | 0.6 ± 0.1 | 0.4 ± 0.2 | ||
| disk | Delayed | 84.2 ± 7.2 | 67.7 ± 6.9 | 8.5 ± 6.9 | |
| Rapid | 62.1 ± 8.1 | 47.2 ± 6.1 | 9.1 ± 5.42 | ||
Notes. The data are broken down by surveys and Galactic components. Filter-only predictions (nsl, filter only) are compared with S/N-constrained predictions requiring signal-to-noise ratios above 2σ (nsl, 2σ) or 3σ (nsl, 3σ). Uncertainties represent standard deviations from 12-fold bootstrapping.
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