Physical properties of long-rising type II supernovae - Bayesian analytic modeling and spectrophotometric correlations

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Volume 707 (March 2026)

A&A, 707 (2026) A324

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Table 1.

Results of the validation test.

Par.	Method	SN 1987A	SN 2009E	OGLE-14
	Pr.	1.4 ± 0.9	0.8 ± 0.2	18 ± 11
E	Po.	1.6 ± 0.2	1.1 ± 0.1	20 ± 5
[foe]	MC	1.7 ± 0.4	1.2 ± 0.2	21 ± 7
	HM	1.3 ± 0.1	0.6 ± 0.2	$12_{- 6}^{+ 13}$ $Mathematical equation: $ 12^{+13}_{-6} $$

	Pr.	16 ± 5	15 ± 2	43 ± 16
M_ej	Po.	18 ± 1	23 ± 1	46 ± 5
[M_⊙]	MC	19 ± 3	24 ± 2	48 ± 8
	HM	16 ± 1	19 ± 3	$60_{- 16}^{+ 42}$ $Mathematical equation: $ 60^{+42}_{-16} $$

	Pr.	4 ± 3	4 ± 4	25 ± 21
R₀	Po.	2.9 ± 0.3	4.6 ± 0.2	25 ± 3
[10¹² cm]	MC	2.8 ± 0.3	4.5 ± 0.5	27 ± 4
	HM	3.0 ± 0.9	7 ± 1	$38_{- 10}^{+ 8}$ $Mathematical equation: $ 38^{+8}_{-10} $$

M_Ni	Pr.	7.4 ± 0.9	3.9 ± 0.2	42 ± 13
[10⁻² M_⊙]	HM	7 ± 1	4 ± 1	47 ± 2

Notes. Comparison of priors (Pr.), best model posterior (Po.), and MC results with those from numerical HM for SN 1987A, SN 2009E, and OGLE-14.

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