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Fig. 5.

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Redshift evolution of various model quantities, shown as following from top to bottom. Panel (a): Statistical prediction of the Mg II comoving line density dN/dX for three cuts in Wr2796 chosen to match published data (colored lines). Data points with the same color codes are from Sebastian et al. (2024) and Chen (2017). Panel (b): Observed L > 0.01L luminosity-weighted space density of UV-bright galaxies (Bouwens et al. 2021) shown for both fixed and evolving β. Panel (c): Statistical prediction of the Mg II halo radius. Panel (d): Same as panel (c) but for the volume filling factor. Since Wr is binned, both R and fV are averages. The magenta line in panels (a), (c), and (d) represents a constant-velocity wind starting at the Big Bang. Model uncertainties are propagated from those of f and ϕ. A non-evolving β would shift ⟨nL upward by a factor of ≈3, and shift R and fV downward by ≈1.7 and ≈5, respectively.

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